MT-Stock

2022년 11월 15일 화요일

Selemix Stock Chart Analysis - Selling Major Shareholder Stocks! The stock price is like this

The share price of Celemix is...As soon as I looked at the chart...I wonder what this is. It's a stock that rebounded once after the listing and continued to fall. It's a bio event, but how can you be so into it?

Shouldn't we have reviewed the company's possibility more in the listing review and listed it? That's what I'm thinking.

Of course, it's technically superior, so it's listed, but it should be time for shareholders to wait...Bio is a battle with time. Clinical 123 needs to go through this process, so it should be time for shareholders to hold out more strictly during the screening process.

Anyway, I'm sighing while looking at Juju. And when I searched the news just in case, I saw the news that the major shareholder sold his shares in the market. That's also a key research professor...I think it's two of you.

Isn't it sold because shareholders don't have trust in technology? It's a situation that makes you doubt this.

Of course, there are personal reasons and reasons for the sale, but I don't think the market will just look at this.

Individual investors are enduring it, but it is true that they are really exhausted when news like this comes out.

In fact, I don't know what it is, but from an investor's point of view, I think it's not right.

Let's look at the chart. The recently made low NPB중계 point is 6630 won. But I think you're holding up well.

I hope you can keep this low point! That's what I think. I have to ask you to hold out without further declines.

If there is a rebound, I will tell you the high points.

It's 10,000 won, 1.3 won, and 160,000 won. Isn't it amazing? The price is dropping like this.

I think it'll be good to remember.

If there is a strong NHL중계 increase, you can think about selling it at this price range.

Finally, investors see a lot of growth, performance, and so on, but what they see the most is reliability.

Why are Korean companies' stock prices lower than their performance? Is it kimchi premium?There are a lot of complaints, too.

There's a reason for everything. Trust... Trust...This is a necessary virtue for companies.

ESG management? This is that. I will invest in a reliable company. Trusted companies...

There is an answer between investment and hot and cold water

From the COVID-19 period to the present, is there another time when we can experience the investment market comprehensively as much as the last two years? The world, which was worried about "negative interest rates" just two years ago, is now suffering its worst inflation in 40 years. As a result, the investment market is also going back and forth between hot and cold baths.

It was a pleasant start. When the COVID-19 pandemic began in March 2020, governments responded quickly to prevent the real economy from shrinking.

The Korean government also carried out an all-time quantitative easing of about 59 trillion won, which led to a boom in the investment market, where all stocks rose. As the market overflowed with the success story of an acquaintance's investment and life reversal story, people who were not interested in investing eventually jumped into the upward trend, feeling the Fear of Missing Out (FOMO).

As a result, the size of individual investors' investment grew to 1,229.79 trillion won, up 2.2 times from before COVID-19.

But the rally wasn't long. Much of the liquidity that had been released on the market inevitably caused all-time inflation, and now, starting with the U.S. Fed's giant step, each country's central banks are adamant about evolving inflation and are rapidly pushing for quantitative tightening. As a result, the KOSPI, which had been rising to the right by surpassing 3,300 points in June last year, fell to 2,300 points in a year, evaporating 470 trillion won in market capitalization in a year.

The dizzying experience of rising and falling markets rapidly like roller coasters makes us rethink the fear of volatile investment markets. Of course, it is clear that volatility is a good opportunity for investors. This is because changes in asset prices due to volatility can bring great returns. Because of this irresistible attraction, so many investors have entered the investment market. But what's clear is that not everyone can take this opportunity.

In particular, it is more clear when looking at the actual performance of individual investors. According to the Korea Capital Market Research Institute's analysis of the stock market from March to October 2020, the cumulative return on stock investment (including transaction costs) was high at 14.4%, but only 54% of all individual investors enjoyed this return. The remaining 46% recorded investment losses even in the upward trend.

Not to mention the performance in the bear market at a time when half of individual investors lose money even in the bear market.

In May, a securities firm analyzed individual investors' accounts and found that 90% of investment stocks were negative. Of the top 50 stocks held (based on the number of accounts), only five made positive returns, and the average return of 50 stocks in this stock was -18.1%.

The implications of the above data are clear. Whether it is an upward or downward trend, it is very difficult for individual investors to achieve a certain level of performance in a highly volatile investment market.

Those of us who have experienced the market comprehensively now need to think calmly. "Do I have the skills and insights to always win and make a profit in a volatile market?" If not, what we need to do now is wake up quickly in our dream of becoming a big hit and use realistic investment methods.

Investment laws vary depending on individual tendencies or situations they face, but considering the current market situation, the common principle that can be used is defense, that is, "protective investment." To this end, efforts are needed to pursue positive real returns and disperse assets without losing principal.

Considering that now is entering a recession, the most important thing to pay attention to is not to lose assets. It is necessary to reduce excessive bets and minimize losses while steadily making profits with the aim of large profits. This is because one big loss can be a big blow that is difficult to recover in a fall market where asset prices are relatively unlikely to rise.

Therefore, the investment portfolio is also worth considering rebalancing by reducing the size of highly volatile risky assets and increasing the proportion of safe assets such as deposits and bonds.

It is also very important to consider the real rate of return considering the inflation period. This is because if the expected nominal rate of return is lower than the inflation rate, the real rate of return becomes negative.

Therefore, considering that the domestic consumer price growth rate is 6%, it is desirable to set the expected return rate at least 7% per year to expect a gentle net increase in assets. Of course, it is not easy to find a medium-return investment destination of 7% per year in a situation where there are many investment destinations with very polarized personalities such as deposits and MLB중계 stocks, but these days, alternative products that advocate medium-return risks are gradually increasing.

Representatively, a new asset type that is attracting market attention is ontu finance. On2 Finance, which claims to be a risky investment among medium-returns at 6-12% per year, is a platform finance that connects various customers who had no choice but to use high-interest loans in existing finance despite their ability and willingness to repay and investors who want higher interest returns than bank deposits.

On-to-Financial deals with various product groups such as retail finance and corporate finance, especially mortgage investments that have clear collateral such as apartments or short-term loan bonds for 7 to 10 days as collateral for electronic bills are highly preferred by investors due to stable investment performance.

Finally, let's not miss the diversified 무료스포츠중계 investment either. Distributed investment is an investment principle that should be used more actively in the bear market.

The importance of distributed investment tends to be very low as the cases of successful returns through intensive investment have been talked about for some time, but this is because people only recognized success cases. Concentrated investment is great if you do well, but if you don't, you lose your assets significantly.

On the contrary, distributed investment is strong in defense. Investing in several stocks in low-correlation asset groups and each asset group could help reduce losses and protect assets.

It's a difficult time for everyone. The market is full of concerns and worries rather than hopes. However, as the past already proves, there will be another opportunity after the crisis.

Therefore, for the pleasant time to face again, let's put anxiety on one side and keep what is given to us now and build a better perspective and a strong foundation. I believe that the time and effort we have accumulated one by one will surely return to great results. I cheer for your investment journey that will continue silently until then.

2022년 11월 11일 금요일

Dow

Dow -0.46 Nasdaq -1.73%

The U.S. stock market has fallen for four consecutive days due to the Fed's shock

U.S. trade deficit widened in September Bank of England raises interest rates by 0.75% China's real estate crisis and other risks are expanding

Discussing the suspension of the Fed's rate hike has not easily escaped the shock of strong hawkish remarks that it is premature. U.S. 10-year government bonds rose 4.161% Apple, down 4% Alphabet. Apple's Chinese plant has been suspended due to COVID-19

Fortunately, the domestic stock market is a little out of shock from the U.S. Foreign supply and demand still have a positive buying advantage in the Korean market, showing psychological stability, clearly having a secondary battery leader, and the institution's unwavering buying of the secondary battery serves as a market stabilizer

In addition to Doosan Pure Cell TOP, which features hydrogen theme stocks, JNK Heater Sang-A Front Tech EM Korea's Pungguk Liquor Kolon Inder

The best picture on the chart is NAVER Seezen LG Electronics SK Ii Technology SK Bioscience

Secondary Battery POSCO Chemical Samsung SDI LG Energy Solution SK Innovation LG Chem Cosmo Chemical's major electronics fairy tale company SK I Technology EcoPro BM

Game NCsoft Devsisters

LS's earnings are improving and it has broken through the sales wall

Korea Aerospace Hyundai Rotem LIG Nex1 Hanwha Aerospace in the face of a technical rebound in defense stocks

In the face of a decline in pharmaceutical bio, Celltrion Healthcare Yuhan Corporation, an alternative stock

ETF is TIGER KRX secondary battery K-New Deal KODEX US Clean Energy NASDAQ US dollar bond active

New drug pipelines such as HLB and HLB Life Sciences, pharmaceuticals, etc. Excellent and growth potential

Guitar Luda Welcron Tekkakao

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2022년 6월 16일 목요일

major domestic/foreign stock market news

■ Won-dollar exchange rate of KRW 1265

■ KOSPI, KOSDAQ, and KRX index regular change date today

Samsung Electronics' 52-week Lowest Price Due to New York Stock Exchange's Decline and Global Macro

Lanix Capes on Expectations of Commercializing Self-Driving Cars

Motrex Pilots Self-Driving in Gangnam, Seoul

17 billion won contract with state-run G&M and Hanwha Engineering & Construction

DY, Hyundai Motor's self-driving "Top Level 4" begins...Exclusive development technology highlighted

See Swind expects to benefit from expanding the European wind market

Sekonix to Operate Korea's First Self-Driving Taxi in Gangnam

■ Russian Kremlin "There will be no additional gas interruption in Europe"

■ Slightly lower sea freight charges 미국농구중계

■ Concerns over tightening ahead of U.S. consumer price announcement...New York Stock Exchange's Top Three Indexes Closing Down

■ ECB ends July...July-September interest rate hike

■ 2.29 million new unemployment claims...More than expected

UBS "When you buy Tesla"...Target stays at $1100

Bloomberg, "China Discusses Allowing Ma Yun to List Ant Group"...Chinese authorities dismiss that they have no plans

Documentary Q1 performance, EPS lower than expected...Sales are above...Sales guidance for Q2 falls short of market expectations

Neo Q1 earnings, above EPS and revenue MLB중계 market expectations..."More money with power and network expansion investments"

Fuel Cell Energy Q1 earnings, below EPS and revenue market expectations..."Operating Costs Increase"

2022년 6월 3일 금요일

mmk 1

2022년 5월 20일 금요일

Differentiation by industry is likely to materialize amid a gradual rise in the index

There is a growing possibility that the U.S. benchmark interest rate will rise by 0.50 percentage points at a time. As supporting the market's expectations, the Federal Reserve (Federal Reserve) has begun to argue for big steps one by one. On the 25th (local time), John Williams, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, argued in a public speech that the Fed should raise its key interest rate by 0.50 percentage points when appropriate.

At the Fed's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, which ended on the 16th, a minority opinion was also presented claiming a 0.50 percentage point increase. The only person who claimed the big step at the time was James Blood, the president of the St. Louis kite. However, discussions on the possibility of a big step have become more active since the Fed raised interest rates by 0.25 percentage points at the last meeting.

Market watchers predict that the Fed is likely to take big steps one after another at the FOMC meeting in May and the following month's meeting. Furthermore, many predict that the key interest rate will continue to rise in the remaining four FOMC meetings since June. According to this expectation, the U.S. benchmark interest rate will rise to at least 2.25 to 2.50% by the end of this year.

Citigroup predicted that the Fed would raise its key interest rate by 0.50 percentage points in a row at the upcoming FOMC meeting in May, June, July and September, predicting that it may raise the key interest rate by 0.75 percentage points at one time. If this prediction is correct, the top of the U.S. benchmark interest rate will rise to 3.25% this year. The dot chart released by the Fed shortly after the last monetary policy meeting also contained a member predicting that the benchmark interest rate could rise to 3.25% by the end of this year. However, the claim did not draw much attention when the dot chart was released.

However, the New York stock market seems to have gotten used to this prospect. Major indexes on the New York Stock Exchange have been on a modest rise over the past two weeks. Some analysts say that more and more people think it is an opportunity to invest now because the stock market has been in a slump for a long time. In the meantime, there are many predictions that stock prices will be differentiated by stocks amid a gentle rise.

Han Ji-young, a researcher at Kiwoom Securities, predicted, "As there are no signs that companies' profits are falling into a slump in both the Korean and U.S. stock markets, the negative sensitivity to interest rate hikes will gradually ease."

Kim Young-hwan, a researcher at NH Investment & Securities, also predicted a modest rise in the index, calling for attention to stocks related to the conversion of Endemic (meaning that the disease is a endemic disease after the COVID-19 pandemic) and growth stocks that fell relatively less.

On the other hand, researcher Noh Dong-gil of Shinhan Financial Investment predicted on the 28th that the KOSPI's profit rate will continue to decline for the time being due to rising oil prices following the Ukraine crisis. He pointed out that the U.S. monetary policy may not be a material to expand stock market adjustment, pointing out that the KOSPI does not rise significantly despite easing uncertainties in monetary policy.

Despite the Fed's interest rate hike, concerns over global stagflation still remain. One reason is that international oil prices and grain prices are on a high march due to the prolonged war between Russia and Ukraine. Nevertheless, the Fed is trying to continue its austerity drive based on confidence in the U.S. economic recovery.

However, the Fed is expected to try to control the pace by paying attention to major economic indicators in the future. What is immediately drawing attention is employment and price-related indicators released this week. The first is the March ADP employment report, which will be released on the 30th. According to a report by the Wall Street Journal (WSJ), the number of new employees in the non-agricultural sector is expected to be about 460,000 in March. This is far below the previous month's tally of 678,000. However, experts believe that the Fed will aggressively raise interest rates if the employment growth in March is confirmed to be around 500,000.

On the 31st of this month, the core personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index for February will be released. The core PCE index is a price index that the Fed values. The index stood at 5.2 percent in January. The prevailing view is that the index in February would have risen further than this. The market consensus is around 5.5%.

If the figure exceeds market expectations, the Fed is more likely to raise its key interest rate by 0.5 percentage points at the next FOMC meeting.

Meanwhile, the KOSPI started trading at 2721.22, 8.76 points (0.32 percent) lower than the previous day, and continued to fluctuate. The closing price was recorded at 2729.56, down 0.42 points (0.02%) from the previous day.

2022년 5월 17일 화요일

soaring exchange rates and worsening exporters' profitability

The rate of increase in the won-dollar exchange rate is very steep. The U.S. austerity, the war in Europe, and the weak yuan overlapped. China is considering lowering interest rates. Go backwards with the United States. For this reason, the won is likely to continue to weaken. This is all the more so because the U.S. will continue to push for a rate hike.

The exchange rate effect can be seen in two ways.

1) Positive: Increasing export competitiveness

2) Negative: Rising raw material import prices, rising dollar debt burdens.

In the past, there were many positive aspects. However, the price of raw materials is soaring so much that it is leading to worsening profitability. It's because Korea is a country that does processing trade. In the case of aviation companies, the burden of financial costs increases due to high dollar debt. The yen's weakness in Japan, a rival country, is also progressing.

'Rising exchange rates = increasing exports' is now an old saying...Companies 'super-emergency'

Korea's Economy, May 16, 2022 at 00:53

The exchange rate is 1,300 won.Businesses Are 'Positive'

Profitability 'direct hit' as raw material prices jump

Raw Material Imports Increase by 42 Trillion in Three Months

Interest on foreign currency debt is also a "snowball."

The soaring won-dollar exchange rate is straining Korean companies. As the price of raw materials converted into won jumps, the cost burden is increasing and the pressure to repay foreign currency debt is growing at the same time.

In the Seoul foreign exchange market, the won-dollar exchange rate rose to 1,291 won on the 13th, continuing to soar from the verge of 1,300 won. The dollar closed at 1,284-20 won against the U.S. dollar, down 4.40 won due to the government's verbal intervention, but foreign exchange experts believe the breakthrough of the 1,300 won mark is a fait accompli.

According to the Bank of Korea on the 15th, Korea imported 95.97 billion dollars in raw materials in the first quarter of this year, up 51.9 percent (32.81 billion dollars) from 63.16 billion dollars in the first quarter of last year. During the same period, Korea's exports of major products, including semiconductors (34.86 billion dollars), automobiles (11.34 billion dollars), chemicals (26.68 billion dollars), and steel (14.8 billion dollars), easily exceeded the total amount of exports (87.68 billion dollars). The business community analyzed, "The rise in the exchange rate (falling the value of the won) is not helping the export competitiveness, but rather it is increasing the burden of imports of raw materials that have already soared, worsening the profitability of companies."

Credit risks of some companies are also expected to emerge. As of the end of last year, Korean companies' external debts amounted to $1438.8 billion (about 183.48 trillion won. If the exchange rate rises, interest costs on foreign currency debt converted into won will increase and exchange losses will increase. Foreign exchange experts said, "As the conditions for foreign currency procurement are tight, more and more companies are having difficulty repaying foreign currency loans. The value of the won may plunge as soon as the national credit rating falls." Kim Jung-sik, an economics professor at Yonsei University, pointed out, "The trade balance has deteriorated following the fiscal balance, which is dangerous."

Trade balance deteriorates as won falls...9.86 billion won in deficit this year

The import price index jumped 35% last month...Exporting rival Japanese yen also plunges

Korean Air and Asiana Airlines financial officials, whose foreign currency debt amounted to 14 trillion won (as of the end of last year), are expressionless these days. This is because the soaring won-dollar exchange rate is on the verge of surpassing 1,300 won. It is no exaggeration to say that the performance of the two companies depends on the exchange rate. If the average exchange rate jumps 10%, Korean Air and Asiana Airlines' net profit will evaporate by 485.3 billion won and 376.1 billion won, respectively. Export manufacturers are also saddened by the rushing exchange rate. Export companies common explanation is that it is an old saying that "a fall in the value of the won leads to an increase in the trade surplus.

a growing trade deficit

According to the Seoul Foreign Exchange Brokerage on the 15th, the average won-dollar exchange rate was 1,219.32 won until the 13th of this year. Compared to last year's average exchange rate of 1,144.60 won, it rose 6.53% (74.72 won). This means that the value of the won has fallen that much.

In the past, when the value of the won fell (the exchange rate rose), exports increased and the current account and trade account surpluses increased. A case in point is 1998, when Korea suffered from the foreign exchange crisis. At that time, the average exchange rate jumped 47.08% (447.77 won) year-on-year to 1,398.88 won, and the current account surplus reached $40.112.8 billion, the highest ever in terms of annual surplus.

The situation was similar in 2009, right after the global financial crisis. As the average exchange rate rose 15.76% (173.81 won) year-on-year to 1,276.40 won, the current account surplus in 2009 soared to its highest level since 1998.

But things are the opposite these days. As the value of the won falls, the trade balance is deteriorates. According to the Korea Customs Service, the trade balance (export minus imports) recorded a deficit of $9.86 billion until the 10th of this year. Compared to last year's surplus of $7.924 billion, it turned into a deficit. The current account balance in the first quarter of this year was also $15.06 billion, down 32.56 percent (7.27 billion dollars) from the first quarter of last year.

The economics community also believes that the schematic of "rising exchange rates = favorable factors for export companies" no longer works. The report titled "Analyzing Korea's Current Account Surplus Factors" published by the Bank of Korea in November last year pointed out that "financial factors, including exchange rates, do not contribute much to the current account surplus."

The cause is a complicated supply chain structure. In other words, the won's influence has fallen sharply as the method of importing, reprocessing, and exporting raw materials sourced from overseas has become established among domestic manufacturing companies. If the value of the won falls, you have to pay expensive money to buy raw materials. That much, performance and profitability will be undermined. As the exchange rate jumped, the import price index jumped 35% in April from a year earlier.

On top of that, the plunge in the value of the yen in Japan, an export rival, is also affecting exports. This month, the yen's exchange rate against the dollar exceeded 130 yen for the first time since April 2002.

"Diversification of foreign currency sources"

Companies are busy preparing countermeasures related to exchange rate risks. More and more companies are subscribing to foreign exchange hedge products or increasing dollar liquidity. Airlines that pay oil costs and aircraft leases in dollars are diversifying their sources of foreign currency. The plan is to reduce the portion of strong dollar loans and increase the portion of loans such as the yen, the euro, and the won, which are showing sluggish trends.

Chemical companies that import naphtha, the basic raw material for petrochemical products for dollars, and steel companies that import iron ore and coal, explained that they will prevent foreign exchange losses by increasing exports that receive dollars. An official from a chemical company said, "We are concerned that demand could shrink due to growing internal and external uncertainties, including fluctuations in the value of the dollar."

Automakers with more "benefits" than "loss" are also considering adjusting their business plans. An industry official said, "We are enjoying the effect of improving performance as price competitiveness is strengthened due to the rise in the exchange rate," but added, "As there are high concerns about uncertainties in exchange rates and financial conditions, we will respond by readjusting the entire business plan."